WhatAn automated tool that monitors options and futures order flow in real time, alerting subscribers when statistically significant positioning occurs shortly before scheduled or likely political announcements.
SignalMultiple commenters want to see the base rate data and evidence for pre-announcement trading patterns — they want to either trade on this information themselves or at minimum understand whether the patterns are real and statistically significant.
Why NowThe combination of frequent tariff and trade policy reversals creating repeated commodity price shocks, plus the availability of real-time options flow data APIs, makes building this technically feasible and commercially relevant right now.
MarketActive commodity traders, hedge funds, financial media; ~$1-3B TAM in alternative data for trading; competes with Unusual Whales and similar flow tools but with a political-event correlation layer.
MoatHistorical backtested dataset linking political events to anomalous flow becomes more valuable over time and is expensive to replicate.
Grand Theft Oil Futures: Insider traders keep making a killing at our expenseView discussion ↗ · Article ↗ · 499 pts · May 7, 2026
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